Major League Baseball 2006: Now With 27% Less Steroids!I realize it's a little late to be making "pre-season" predictions four days after the season started, but I feel compelled to do so anyway. Without further ado, here is how I see the 2006 season shaking out.
American LeagueEast1. New York Yankees Yes they're old. Yes, the health of their starting pitchers will be critical to the team's success once again. However, the addition of Johnny Damon makes the starting lineup potentially one of the best in baseball history.
2. Boston Red Sox They'll survive the loss of Damon, as Coco Crisp is younger and, overall, a better long-term investment. The question mark is the infield, which has been completely turned over since last season.
3. Toronto Blue Jays They spent a lot of money, particularly on starting pitcher AJ Burnett, in hopes of mounting the first serious challenge on the Yankees and Red Sox in about eight years. I don't think they're there yet.
4. Baltimore Orioles If Tejada produces, this lineup can score a lot of runs. Pitching is another story.
5. Tampa Bay Devil Rays Could escape the cellar if the young guys (Crawford, Baldelli, Gathright, Young, Gomes, Upton) take the next step.
Central1. Chicago White Sox Hard to bet against a defending champion that actually got better during the offseason. May still need to catch the kind of breaks they got last year to repeat in a tough division.
2. Cleveland Indians Have one of the best young lineups in the game. Sizemore, Peralta, Martinez, and Hafner are the new version of Belle, Baerga, Lofton, and Ramirez.
3. Minnesota Twins Johan Santana may be the best pitcher in the game, but unless Mauer and Morneau have big seasons it's hard to see the Twins scoring enough runs to contend.
4. Detroit Tigers New manager Jim Leyland used to manage the Pittsburgh Pirates, who had a sleek young outfielder with 30/30 talent on offense and a gold glove on defense. Whatever happened to that guy?
5. Kansas City Royals It would be an accomplishment if these guys don't have the worst record in baseball.
West1. Anaheim Angels Great pitching staff led by Cy Young winner Bartolo Colon. Will they score enough runs? Someone, like Casey Kotchman, will have to step up to support Vladimir Guerrero.
2. Oakland Athletics They're a popular pick to win the American League, but I don't think I see it. Adding Frank Thomas and Milton Bradley doesn't seem to be a recipe for success.
3. Texas Rangers They finally addressed their pitching issues, but all of a sudden the lineup looks suspect. Teixeira and Young are stars, and Blalock should be, but Phil Nevin at DH?
4. Seattle Mariners It's hard to figure out what they're doing. When Jamie Moyer is your best starting pitcher, you're probably in trouble. They need Beltre to play like he is in a contract year.
National League
East1. Atlanta Braves At this point, it's best to just put the Braves at the top of this list whether they appear to have the best team or not. They lost Rafael Furcal, but their biggest loss may be pitching coach Leo Mazzone.
2. New York Mets On paper, they should be considered the favorites in the division. But baseball games aren't played on paper. They're played in television sets. David Wright is a stud.
3. Philadelphia Phillies Pat Gillikk is on board as General Manager, which means the Phillies can look forward to three-to-five years of being almost good. Kind of like the last three-to-five years.
4. Washington Nationals Hard to believe MLB still hasn't found an owner for this team. The uncertainty has definitely hurt, and eventually will hurt their momentum as they move into a new stadium in a couple years. At least they're not the…
5. Florida Marlins With a payroll of $15 million, the Marlins should be terrible, although they do have a couple stars in Dontrelle Willis and Miguel Cabrera. But the starting second baseman is Dan Uggla.
Central
1. St. Louis Cardinals Probably the favorite in a weak National League. Pujols is the game's best offensive player, and Chris Carpenter is one of the game's best pitchers.
2. Houston Astros Hard to see them getting back to the World Series, although it's definitely a possibility if Clemens comes back. Will need another big year from Morgan Ensberg.
3. Milwaukee Brewers Took a big step up last year in finishing .500. JJ Hardy, Rickie Weeks, and Prince Fielder should be able to lead them back to at least that level again.
4. Chicago Cubs It would be nice to be able to pick them to win the World Series, but any team banking on the health of Mark Prior and Kerry Wood seems likely to struggle.
5. Pittsburgh Pirates There is some good young talent, with Jason Bay becoming one of the best hitters in the NL, but they seem destined for at least one more year of mediocrity.
6. Cincinnati Reds The only way they will escape the cellar is if Griffey has a big year, which seems possible. Otherwise, they are the NL version of the Royals.
West
1. San Diego Padres Almost a default pick in a weak division. They did win it last year, however, and got better in the offseason with the addition of Mike Cameron.
2. San Francisco Giants They are incredibly old, and Bonds will be lucky to survive this season intact, but they did upgrade the pitching staff with Matt Morris.
3. Los Angeles Dodgers Made a lot of changes in the front office and on the field, but it's hard to see a team with this much turnover winning a division immediately.
4. Arizona Diamondbacks Probably at least a year away, but once Conor Jackson, Carlos Quentin, Stephen Drew, and Justin Upton establish themselves as the heart of the order, they'll be championship contenders.
5. Colorado Rockies There's some good young talent there, even on the pitching staff, but it's hard to see them being competitive this year.
PlayoffsDivision Series: Yankees over Angels, White Sox over Red Sox, Cardinals over Mets, Braves over Padres
LCS: White Sox over Yankees, Cardinals over Braves
World Series: White Sox over Cardinals
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